China’s GDP to overtake U.S. by early 2020s, says Deutsche Bank analyst

China’s GDP to overtake U.S. by early 2020s, says Deutsche Bank analyst
Mainland to become world’s largest in about a decade, says Deutsche Bank

By Chris Oliver, MarketWatch
Last update: 9:15 a.m. EDT April 23, 2009Comments: 310

HONG KONG (MarketWatch) — China will overtake the U.S. in terms of economic output within a decade, according to estimates released Thursday by Deutsche Bank, which said it had to accelerate its forecast of the mainland’s leadership in the global economy in view of favorable growth dynamics in emerging markets.

China’s growth will be underpinned by a rapid expansion in emerging market economies, which will account for about 70% of global GDP growth in the coming decade, Deutsche Bank’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Jun Ma, told an investment conference in Hong Kong,

China will "massively invest" in these emerging economies using its nearly $2 trillion in foreign exchange reserves, extend its leverage by extending loans to the International Monetary Fund, and allow the yuan to appreciate in preparation for the currency’s potential reserve status.

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