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AIPAC Obama-pulse

by Open-Publishing - Thursday 22 July 2010

International Governments USA

Obama’s disagreement with AIPAC :Obama, after having participated in an annual convention of the largest organization of American Jewish lobby (AIPAC (American Israel Public Affairs Committed) and ensure that the traditional U.S. unconditional support to Israel and to reaffirm that "Jerusalem will remain Israel’s undivided capital "would have gotten the rejection of the different Palestinian factions. This, coupled with the accusations by Arab countries of a tacit complicity with Israel in Operation Cast Lead (invasion of the Gaza Strip) and a slip of the Government U.S. to pro-Zionist positions for allegedly belonging to the lobby of the Jewish members of his Cabinet Clintonian affiliation, would have forced Obama to send a special envoy to the area (former Senator Mitchell) to try to boost talks peace after the previous polls rigor.
However, after little progress after a year of three-way dialogue, the situation had deteriorated to the constitution by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of an unlikely coalition government with the argument in favor of continuing Palestinian and expansion policy Jewish settlements. So when they signed the Oslo Accords, 100,000 West Bank settlers populated and today would be 300,000, coupled with the planned completion of the Wall in the West Bank that would include approximately 10% of West Bank territory, including East Jerusalem, (which houses 60,000 Palestinian could be demolished in the absence of official permission and would have some 200,000 settlers in 1993).

The straw that would fill the glass would be known as King David Archaeological Park to be located in the neighborhood of Silwan (conquered in 1967 by Israel in the Six Day War), and be framed in a more fundamental development project , known as the Scheme 1155 and would involve the expulsion of one thousand Palestinian residents, despite the "strenuous U.S. pressure" to finalize them, which has led to a cooling of Obama’s relations with Netanyahu.
Therefore, Netanyahu visited Washington in order to get the help of their godfathers of AIPAC to help him convince Obama that contain Iran’s nuclear plans at a much more important to curb Jewish settlements and to is implemented on the Palestinians the same pressure on the Israelis to be able to resume peace talks without conditions. For its part, Hillary Clinton after a media sound disagreement with Netanyahu, told the same meeting of AIPAC that "new settlements in East Jerusalem or the West Bank undermine mutual trust and threaten the peace talks," the ceremony being introduced mismatch Obama Administration the AIPAC.

Concern in the Aipac: The most influential group of pro-Israeli pressures would AIPAC U.S., with over 100,000 members and 150 of them devoted exclusively to lobbying Congress, the White House and all agencies taking administrative policy decisions that may affect the interests of the State of Israel. Thus, the Executive Director of the Israel-US Committee. Public Affairs, Howard Kohr on AIPAC Policy Conference on May 3, expressed particular concern over the progress of the movement the movement to make Israel accountable for its crimes against the Palestinian people (BDS) in the U.S. "Which accuses Israel of apartheid and genocide, which is equated Zionism with racism, where a former U.S. president may publicly accusing Israel of apartheid.

Israeli Apartheid Week (IAW in English) is celebrated every year in various cities around the globe with the aim to "become aware of the apartheid policies of Israel toward the Palestinians and to rally support for the boycott campaign, divestment and sanctions (BDS) against Israel "also demands the BDS campaign would" end the Israeli occupation and colonization of all Arab lands and dismantling of the wall coupled with the recognition of the fundamental rights of Arab citizens Israel-Palestinian to full equality and respect the rights of Palestinian refugees to return to their homes and properties as stipulated the UN resolution 194.
" In addition, in June 2010, the two ends of the political spectrum Jewish U.S. will compete in a historic moment when Israel and the Zionist movement struggling to maintain their influence on the spirit of secular Jews and that there is a new project that occur away from Zionism and adheres to a renewed commitment to a shared humanity.

On the one hand, there will be a meeting of the Assembly of 2010 American Jews "oppose racism and apartheid Israel" that "comes at a time when it is an urgent need to build on the recent success of the solidarity movement with Palestine and in circumstances where companies and U.S. government continued to commit serious injustices in Palestine "This meeting. will occur immediately after 36. Congress of the World Zionist Organization (WZO) to be held in the same week in Jerusalem. The WSO was founded in 1897 at the First Zionist Congress to put at the head of the Zionist movement and in its next meeting, the Congress will refocus their strategies in "defense of the legitimacy of Israel against the growing convictions, attempts make Israel accountable for its war crimes and prevent the triumph of the movement for boycott, divestment and sanctions. "

Enthronement of a new geopolitics "primus peer" :has always been believed that AIPAC and the hawks in the Pentagon acted as a shadow government in Washington, distorting policy in terms of Israeli interests rather than the U.S., but the reality is that the pro-Israeli lobby has real weight in the areas of power, but only because the U.S. and Israel share the same geopolitical interests.
Thus, U.S. Israel would have to keep the Arab States of the Middle East under the constant threat of attack, ensuring the maintenance of way subservient to Washington and Israel could not continue to exist in its present form without the strong political and material support received from EE. UU. (Over 2,500 million dollars in U.S. military aid in 2009), but right now we would see a conflict of interest between the two sides, due to the new geopolitical concept prevailing in the Obama Administration.

Zbigniew Brzezinski, Obama’s geopolitical engineer, was the mastermind of the Trilateral Commission, and National Security como.Consejero President Carter between 77 and 81 and currently is an advisor to the Center for Strategic and International Johns Hopkins University in Washington DC In a recent interview, Brzezinski to Gerald Posner’s The Daily Beast (September 18, 2009), Brzezinski warns about the disastrous consequences of "American-Iranian collision" of the United States and China would go seriously affected, while Russia would emerge as the big winner.
Thus, the expected closing of the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf, (where it crosses the transport of oil destined for Northeast Asia (China, Japan and South Korea), Europe and the U.S.) would raise the price of black gold to stratospheric levels and would have severe repercussions in the global economy, becoming fully "oildependent" EU from Russia and also the overwhelming preponderance of Iran over the Shia majority in Iraq would threaten the withdrawal of the beleaguered United States Army and increase the significant influence of Iranian Shiite theocracy in Afghanistan.
U.S. President Barack Obama would have parked the draft Anti-Ballistic Missile Shield (NDM), replacing it with "a new mobile missile defense system," but after this dramatic statement, conceals a Machiavellian move to try to make Russia a Partner necessary in safeguarding peace and stability.
Moreover, Obama’s decision to sell new items of weaponry to Taiwan for $ 6,400 million (project approved by Bush) or the private meeting with the Dalai Lama would try to pressure Beijing to enlist their support in the UN to extend sanctions Iran, pressures that have achieved their objective to be China’s largest creditor and totally dolardependiente U.S., which could assist in a distant future to the enthronement of the "Geopolitics peer" based on US-Russia Troika-China.

The Troika achieve the beheading of the BRIC (Brazil, Russia, India and China), as have lately intensified their political cooperation for trade agreements and extract political concessions from the developed countries (proposed nuclear cooperation with India and Brazil), and together have the potential to form an economic bloc with a status higher than the current G-8 (it is estimated that the horizon of 2050 will have more than 40% of world population and a combined GDP of 34 951 $ Billion), leaving pass the EU, India and Brazil as bystanders.
Therefore, the new strategy of the Obama Administration’s Middle East seek to deepen the lines of negotiation "multilateral" (including the opening of a direct line to the Tehran regime and the establishment of an Arab ally compared to isolate hawks "militaristic" both Tehran and Tel Aviv).
Would also be supported by the new sanctions imposed by the UN to Iran with the aim of achieving real weakening of the Iranian economy and the possible revival of the "Green Tide" (movement that sought to undermine the structures of the Islamic Republic ), but not ruled out a preemptive strike on Iran before completing the process of obtaining nuclear weapons, failure to reach an early diplomatic settlement.

Thus, Israeli services, Tehran would be the "threshold" pump for the CIA and Western news agencies is a process that could last between two and five years for the IAEA and the Iranian regime to hide its advanced aspects plan to build a nuclear warhead in less than a year, so that the negotiating strategy of the administration Obama would be supplemented with measures of Pentagon hawks to please the Jewish lobby as reported by London-based newspaper Al-Quds al-Arabi, more than a dozen U.S. warships and Israel (including an aircraft carrier) would have passed through the Suez Canal on Friday and would be directed towards the Red Sea., prior permission from the Egyptian authorities.

Danger Alliance US-Israel-Turkey:
The vote to extend the UN sanctions against Iran, came just a week after the United States pressed for the Council fails to issue a tough resolution condemning Israel for its attack on a humanitarian fleet was on its way to the Gaza Strip and which killed nine Turkish activists, so could jeopardize the alliance US-Israel-Turkey.
The diplomatic crisis between Turkey and Israel strategic alliance shakes military in recent years and and also to suspend maneuvers with Israel, (Anatolian Eagle, scheduled for next October), Ankara fighters expelled the Jews from their territory and could put end the presence of facilities which intelligence of the Israeli army (known as Aman) maintained in recent years in the eastern part of Turkey (a base from which you could hear the whispers of Tehran), so Israel would have been forced to launch military satellite Ofek-9, with high resolution cameras that could be used to spy on Iran’s nuclear program.

Moreover, from the think-tank JINSA to neocon ruling class has begun to harass Obama to break with Turkey, even demanding the departure of Turkish military structures of NATO. and the U.S. government would be considering the decision to support the main secular opposition party, center-left (the Republican People’s Party-Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi) for the general election to be held in 2010, with the avowed objective of power to dismount Erdogan’s government, for having refused to be accomplices and the U.S. war against Saddam’s secular regime in Iran if the AKP’s Islamist elements may resist undoubtedly waging war against a country that calls itself itself ’Islamic Republic’
Furthermore, in the event postponed "sine die" Turkey’s entry as a full member of EU law, there is a risk that the democratic values that the EU has exported to the countries of the former USSR to be replaced by expansionist ideals of the New Great Russia and in the case of Turkey could translate into signing a military cooperation treaty with Russia and gas company, which would alter significantly the European geopolitical scene for the next decade.
Faced with this situation and without the protective umbrella of U.S. and EU and with the background of the controversial Ergenekon case, it is expected that the Turkish army (TSK) star in a new blow "virtual" or "postmodern" that would end the mandate of the Prime Minister Erdogan, (recalling the ’soft coup’ of 1997, when the generals seized power from the government of Necmettin Erbakanpor president, who led a coalition of Islamist), subsequently emerging fractured political system will produce a series of unstable government coalitions in the Turkish parliament.

Netanyahu, the sacrificed pawn:
Tzipi Livni, the Israeli opposition leader, had filed a motion of no confidence against the government for its handling of the crisis caused by the "Freedom Flotilla", a group of six ships with humanitarian aid that was attacked a week ago Israeli Navy while trying to reach the shores of the Gaza Strip, with the usual killing 9 passengers killed, 30 wounded and the worst diplomatic crisis that Israel suffered in recent years.
Despite receiving the support of the majority of the Israeli parliament and refuse to get the vote of confidence, Netanyahu has begun to be criticized not only the political opposition but also from the press and in the reserve officers who accused of political mistakes that led to Israel’s international isolation, especially directed against Netanyahu’s indecision regarding the formation of a committee of inquiry.

Moreover, Attorney General of Israel, Micha Lindenstraus, caused great concern yesterday with the announcement that the Government intends to investigate the decision-making process that led to the approach of the Liberty Fleet and the failure of policy clarification by part of Prime Minister Netanyahu Beniamin, and the head of Defence, Ehud Barak.
The prosecutor made it clear he will not arrive where Tirkle committee (led by Netanyahu to clarify the facts), but totally watered down, because despite having two international observers, they can not vote while not ask the military who attacked the flotilla or prompted resignations.
Lindenstraus can put them in trouble and you want to find out why the intelligence services did not foresee the strength of a group of activists on board the Mavi Marmara (the flagship of the fleet) and Netanyahu could be accused of political errors and lead to Israel’s international isolation, recalling the case of Ehud Olmert was accused of corruption and and that eventually forced his resignation.

Opening Process Israeli-Palestinian Peace: A case of being politically ousted Netanyahu, would come when the moral winner of the last elections israel: Tzipi Livni, Kadima Party leader and now opposition leader (the hidden asset of the Administration Obama definitely steer the process of Israeli-Palestinian peace.)

Tzipi Livni evolved from Zionist ultra-nationalism of his youth to assume the possibility that Palestinian statehood and the renunciation of the West Bank to preserve the Jewish character of Israel and faithful to the thinking of Ben-Gurion "I prefer the unity of the Jewish people to the territorial unity of Israel "would be prepared to go a long way in the form of concessions in exchange for peace with Arab neighbors, but always with the sine-qua-non to ensure that the State of Israel is strong, self-sufficient and respected by the countries of the region.
Under pressure from the Middle East Quartet, Hamas would proceed with the release of Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit (held captive in Gaza since June 25, 2006) and in return, Israel would agree to relax the boycott of Gaza, not being ruled out the application by the UN’s Chapter VII of its Charter.

The Charter states that "when an area or specific area falls under the control of a military-political group (as is the Hamas Islamic Resistance), and when the civilian population is exposed or under fire due to military action of this group The Security Council of the UN must intervene to ensure the protection of civilians and the establishment of peace where it has been altered, "emulating the past UN interventions in areas such as Bosnia and East Timor.
With these premises and under pressure of the Quartet, and Obama would be obliged to participate personally in the negotiation process in order to lay the groundwork for the creation of a future Palestinian state (prior recognition of Israel by the Palestinians) and could conclude with the signing of a peace treaty between the new Israeli Prime Minister and the new President of the Palestinian Authority (which would be representative of the new unity government that would emerge after the inevitable approximation of Hamas and Fatah).
That agreement would have political blessings of Egypt, Russia, Syria and Iran and as necessary economic partners in the reconstruction of Gaza to Saudi Arabia, USA, EU, Japan, and UAE (with an approximate cost of $ 2,000 million) and should be comprehensive and binding on all countries in the Middle East geopolitical area and to achieve the establishment of a new "status quo" in the area ("Pax obamaniana"), once resolved the nuclear dispute with Iran and the U.S. restoration Diplomatic relations between both countries.

This operation will include the initial opposition of the influential U.S. Jewish lobby (AIPAC), but ending accepting Israel in return receive blessings from the U.S. to the completion of the West Bank Wall (which would include approximately 10% of West Bank territory, including East Jerusalem) and increased economic aid encoded for the Bush administration about 3,000 million dollars in aid (amount represents almost 2% of the GDP of Israel) to 5,000 million.
Peace will be unstable and its duration will depend on negotiations between Israel and Syria for the return of the Golan Heights and the future attitude of Hisbol and Hamas, as if both formations persist in their attacks on Israeli territory in violation of the "sacred security" required by the Jewish population , could increase tension in the area and reissued in the next decade, the Six Day War.

GORRAIZ GERMÁN LOPEZ - POLITICAL ANALYST