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Towards an uneasy peace in the Middle East?

by : gorraiz germán lopez
Saturday September 4, 2010 - 13:23
JPEG - 3.5 kb

The new strategy of the Obama Administration’s Middle East seek to deepen the lines of negotiation "multilateral" (including the opening of a direct line to the Tehran regime and the establishment of an Arab ally in front, to isolate the hawks militarists, both Tehran and Tel Aviv) and would be further supported in the new UN sanctions on Iran with the aim of achieving real weakening of the Iranian economy and the possible revival of the "Green Tide" and supplemented with measures of Pentagon hawks to please the Jewish lobby. Thus, as reported by London-based newspaper Al-Quds al-Arabi, more than a dozen U.S. warships and Israel (including an aircraft carrier) would have passed through the Suez Canal on Friday and would be directed towards the Red Sea prior permission from the Egyptian authorities, not being ruled out a preemptive strike on Iran before completing the process of obtaining nuclear weapons (failure to reach a diplomatic settlement soon), because for the Mossad, Iran and would be in the "threshold" pump and for the CIA and the IAEA the Iranian regime advanced hide aspects of its plan to build a nuclear warhead within a year.

Obama family photo with: Abbas and Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, met Thursday at the White House with Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton, to resume direct peace talks, which took 20 months suspended, with aim to achieve in a period of twelve months, an agreement establishing an independent Palestinian state living peacefully alongside the Jewish state Despite the prevailing skepticism about the chances of achieving peace and despite the attacks this week by Hamas militants against Jewish settlers in West Bank and the breakdown by them from the Israeli Government’s partial moratorium on the construction of new settlements and expire on 26 September, Netanyahu and Abbas have agreed to meet again on 14 and 15 this September, (meeting in which Clinton will also participate and to be held in Egypt), would be only a preliminary family photo to achieve media coverage that favored the difficult positions that family members badly Avenue (Obama, Netanyahu and Abbas).

. Changing People: Abu Mazen, Palestinian Authority President since January 2005, the architect of the Oslo Accords signed in 1993 and decided in favor of dialogue to address the eternal conflict with Israel, would be discredited in his countrymen for his repeated failures halt when the Israeli occupation. So when they signed the Oslo Accords, 100,000 West Bank settlers populated and today would be 300,000, coupled with the planned completion of the Wall in the West Bank that would include approximately 10% of West Bank territory, including East Jerusalem, where some 60,000 Palestinian homes could be demolished in the absence of official permission and would have some 200,000 settlers in 1993 despite "strenuous U.S. pressure" to finalize them. Similarly, it would be accused by Hamas of being a strategic ally of the U.S. and Israel for delaying at the United Nations report accusing Israel of committing war crimes in Gaza and be considered an illegitimate president since the mandate was terminated in January, political impasse which could have its outcome in 2011 with the election of a new President of the Palestinian Authority would be the representative of the new unity government that would emerge after the inevitable approximation of Hamas and Fatah. On the Israeli side, the announcement of the Attorney General of Israel, Micha Lindenstraus, to investigate the decision-making process that led to the approach of the Freedom Flotilla, and the shadows on the policy clarification by the Prime Minister Beniamin Netanyahu, and the head of Defense, Ehud Barak Netanyahu Cabinet seriously concerned, because it could be accused of political errors and lead to international isolation Israel, recalling the case of Ehud Olmert was accused of corruption that eventually forced her yy resignation. If politically ousted Netanyahu, would come when the moral winner of the last elections israel: Tzipi Livni, Kadima Party leader and now opposition leader (the hidden asset of the Obama Administration to direct definitely Palestinian peace process -Israeli). Tzipi Livni evolved from Zionist ultra-nationalism of his youth to assume the possibility that Palestinian statehood and the renunciation of the West Bank to preserve the Jewish character of Israel and faithful to the thinking of Ben-Gurion "I prefer the unity of the Jewish people to the territorial unity of Israel "would be willing to go a long way in the form of concessions in exchange for peace with Arab neighbors, but always with the sine-qua-non to ensure that the State of Israel is strong, self and respected by the countries of the region.

Oslo Agreement III: Obama would be obliged to participate personally in the negotiation process in order to lay the groundwork for the creation of a future Palestinian state (prior recognition of Israel by the Palestinians) and that could end with the signing of a Peace Treaty between the new Israeli Prime Minister and the new President of the Palestinian Authority (which would be representative of the new unity government that would ensue following the inevitable approximation of Hamas and Fatah) after the final withdrawal of Abbas. Thus, under pressure from the Middle East Quartet, Hamas would proceed with the release of Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit (held captive in Gaza since June 25, 2006) and in return, Israel would agree to relax the boycott of Gaza, not being ruled out implementation by the UN’s Chapter VII of its Charter which states that "when an area or specific area falls under the control of a military-political group (as is the Hamas Islamic Resistance), and when the civilian population is exposed or under fire due to military action of that group, the Security Council of the UN must intervene to ensure the protection of civilians and the establishment of peace where it has been altered, "emulating the past interventions UN in areas such as Bosnia and East Timor. The agreement would have political blessings of Egypt, Russia, Syria and Iran and as economic partners needed in the reconstruction of Gaza to Saudi Arabia, USA, EU, Japan, and UAE (with an approximate cost of $ 2,000 million) and should be comprehensive and binding on all countries in the Middle East geopolitical area and to achieve the establishment of a new "status quo" in the area ("Pax obamaniana"), once resolved the nuclear dispute with Iran and the U.S. restoration Diplomatic relations between both countries. This operation will include the initial opposition of the influential U.S. Jewish lobby, but it could end up accepting Israel in return receive blessings from the U.S. to the completion of the West Bank Wall (which would include approximately 10% of West Bank territory, including East Jerusalem ) and increased economic aid encoded for the Bush administration about 3,000 million dollars in aid (amount represents almost 2% of GDP in Israel, but peace will be unstable and its duration will depend on negotiations with Israel Syria for the return of the Golan Heights and the future attitude of Hisbol and Hamas, as if both formations persist in their attacks on Israeli territory in violation of the "sacred security" required by the Jewish population could increase tension in the area and reissued the "Operation Cast Lead."

GORRAIZ GERMÁN LOPEZ



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