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> Ex-U.N. Inspector: Decision Already Made To Attack Iran

12 August 2006, 17:14

A rather simplistic and most incomplete analysis. Here is what you didn’t take into account:

* Iran is equipped witn numerous Fajr-3 missiles that are invisible to radar and able to strike several targets with multiple warheads.

* Iran has a large number of Hoots, high-speed torpedoes able to move at some 223 mph, up to four times faster than normal torpedoes, that closely resembles the Russian-made VA-111 Shkval, the world’s fastest known underwater missile, which can be fired by ships cloaked to radar as well as fired by wooden fishing vessels that are also cloaked to radar and infrared detection.

* Iran has deployed Chinese HY-2 ‘Silkworm’ anti-ship missiles along its Persian Gulf coast and its Abu Musa, Qeshm and Sirri islands which lie around and even in the middle of the shipping lanes of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran has 28 islands in the Persian Gulf, and you can be certain that they all have missile installations. These Iranian islands in the Strait of Hormuz allows for the limited Hoots range of 4.26 miles more than sufficient to sink any ship passing through the shipping lines.

* Iran has produced and possesses a large number of surface-to-sea missile, the Kowsas, with remote-control and searching systems that cannot be scrambled.

* Iran has produced and possesses a larg number of "super-modern flying boat," undetectable by radar and able to launch missiles with precise targeting while skimming low over the surface of the water at a top speed of 100 nautical mph.

* If Iran sinks just one tanker in the Strait of Hormuz it can stop all shipping there, because the waters are quite shallow and the Strait of Hormuz at its narrowest is 21 miles wide, having two 1 mile wide channels for marine traffic separated by a 2 mile wide buffer zone in which Iran has several Islands, and is the only sea passage to the open ocean for large areas of the petroleum exporting Persian Gulf States, and those shipping lines are inside Iran’s territorial waters. Since something like 40% of the oil used by the world comes through the Strait of Hormuz, this would cause a global economic collapse. Furthermore, it would effectifely cut the US military’s supply lines to Iraq and to its military bases in the Gulf, thus crippling the US military in Iraq and making them helpless sitting ducks.

* Iran can field some 100,000 well trained and fanatic Pasdaran elite troops and probably close to a million regulars, which would make a US invasion and occupation quite impossible.